IMDb's 2023 awards season predictions
by IMDb-Editors | created - 03 Nov 2022 | updated - 16 Nov 2022 | PublicIf you're an aspiring armchair expert or just want a study guide for awards season, we've pulled together our early predictions in the popular awards categories, along with a few wild card picks. Start planning your Watchlist now — awards season is just around the corner!
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1. Everything Everywhere All at Once (2022)
R | 139 min | Action, Adventure, Comedy
A middle-aged Chinese immigrant is swept up into an insane adventure in which she alone can save existence by exploring other universes and connecting with the lives she could have led.
Directors: Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert | Stars: Michelle Yeoh, Stephanie Hsu, Jamie Lee Curtis, Ke Huy Quan
Votes: 531,466 | Gross: $72.86M
Likely nominations:
Best Picture
Best Director (Daniels, aka Dan Kwan and Daniel Scheinert)
Best Actress (Michelle Yeoh)
Best Supporting Actress (Stephanie Hsu)
Best Supporting Actor (Ke Huy Quan)
Wild card pick:
Best Supporting Actress (Jamie Lee Curtis)
2. The Fabelmans (2022)
PG-13 | 151 min | Drama
Growing up in post-World War II era Arizona, young Sammy Fabelman aspires to become a filmmaker as he reaches adolescence, but soon discovers a shattering family secret and explores how the power of films can help him see the truth.
Director: Steven Spielberg | Stars: Michelle Williams, Gabriel LaBelle, Paul Dano, Judd Hirsch
Votes: 116,518
Likely nominations: Best Picture Best Director (Steven Spielberg) Best Actress (Michelle Williams) Best Supporting Actor (Paul Dano, Judd Hirsch)
3. Babylon (I) (2022)
R | 189 min | Comedy, Drama, History
A tale of outsized ambition and outrageous excess, it traces the rise and fall of multiple characters during an era of unbridled decadence and depravity in early Hollywood.
Director: Damien Chazelle | Stars: Brad Pitt, Margot Robbie, Jean Smart, Olivia Wilde
Votes: 166,946
Likely nominations:
Best Picture
Best Director (Damien Chazelle)
Best Actress (Margot Robbie)
Wild card picks:
Best Actor (Diego Calva)
Best Supporting Actress (Jean Smart)
Best Supporting Actor (Brad Pitt)
4. The Banshees of Inisherin (2022)
R | 114 min | Comedy, Drama
Two lifelong friends find themselves at an impasse when one abruptly ends their relationship, with alarming consequences for both of them.
Director: Martin McDonagh | Stars: Colin Farrell, Brendan Gleeson, Kerry Condon, Pat Shortt
Votes: 252,324
Likely nominations:
Best Picture
Best Actor (Colin Farrell)
Best Supporting Actress (Kerry Condon)
Best Supporting Actor (Brendan Gleeson)
Wild card picks:
Best Director (Martin McDonagh)
Best Supporting Actor (Barry Keoghan)
5. Tár (2022)
R | 158 min | Drama, Music
Set in the international world of Western classical music, the film centers on Lydia Tár, widely considered one of the greatest living composer-conductors and the very first female director of a major German orchestra.
Director: Todd Field | Stars: Cate Blanchett, Noémie Merlant, Nina Hoss, Sophie Kauer
Votes: 93,513
Likely nominations:
Best Picture
Best Director (Todd Field)
Best Actress (Cate Blanchett)
Wild card pick:
Best Supporting Actress (Nina Hoss)
6. Women Talking (2022)
PG-13 | 104 min | Drama
Do nothing, stay and fight, or leave. In 2010, the women of an isolated religious community grapple with reconciling a brutal reality with their faith.
Director: Sarah Polley | Stars: Rooney Mara, Claire Foy, Jessie Buckley, Frances McDormand
Votes: 41,852
Likely nominations: Best Picture Best Director (Sarah Polley) Best Supporting Actress (Jessie Buckley, Claire Foy) Best Supporting Actor (Ben Whishaw)
7. The Woman King (2022)
PG-13 | 135 min | Action, Drama, History
A historical epic inspired by true events that took place in The Kingdom of Dahomey, one of the most powerful states of Africa in the 18th and 19th centuries.
Director: Gina Prince-Bythewood | Stars: Viola Davis, Thuso Mbedu, Lashana Lynch, Sheila Atim
Votes: 72,958 | Gross: $67.33M
Wild card picks: Best Picture Best Director (Gina Prince-Bythewood) Best Actress (Viola Davis) Best Supporting Actress (Thuso Mbedu)
8. The Whale (2022)
R | 117 min | Drama
A reclusive, morbidly obese English teacher attempts to reconnect with his estranged teenage daughter.
Director: Darren Aronofsky | Stars: Brendan Fraser, Sadie Sink, Ty Simpkins, Hong Chau
Votes: 210,223
Likely nominations:
Best Picture
Best Actor (Brendan Fraser)
Best Supporting Actress (Hong Chau)
Wild card pick:
Best Supporting Actress (Sadie Sink)
9. Top Gun: Maverick (2022)
PG-13 | 130 min | Action, Drama
After thirty years, Maverick is still pushing the envelope as a top naval aviator, but must confront ghosts of his past when he leads TOP GUN's elite graduates on a mission that demands the ultimate sacrifice from those chosen to fly it.
Director: Joseph Kosinski | Stars: Tom Cruise, Jennifer Connelly, Miles Teller, Val Kilmer
Votes: 694,203 | Gross: $718.73M
Likely nominations:
Best Picture
Wild card pick:
Best Actor (Tom Cruise)
10. Elvis (2022)
PG-13 | 159 min | Biography, Drama, Music
The life of American music icon Elvis Presley, from his childhood to becoming a rock and movie star in the 1950s while maintaining a complex relationship with his manager, Colonel Tom Parker.
Director: Baz Luhrmann | Stars: Tom Hanks, Austin Butler, Olivia DeJonge, Helen Thomson
Votes: 233,872 | Gross: $151.04M
Likely nominations:
Best Actor (Austin Butler)
Wild card picks:
Best Picture
Best Director (Baz Luhrmann)
11. She Said (2022)
R | 129 min | Drama, History
Jodi Kantor and Megan Twohey's quest to break the Harvey Weinstein scandal.
Director: Maria Schrader | Stars: Zoe Kazan, Carey Mulligan, Patricia Clarkson, Lola Petticrew
Votes: 39,571
Likely nominations:
Best Picture
Wild card pick:
Best Supporting Actress (Carey Mulligan)
12. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022)
PG-13 | 161 min | Action, Adventure, Drama
The people of Wakanda fight to protect their home from intervening world powers as they mourn the death of King T'Challa.
Director: Ryan Coogler | Stars: Letitia Wright, Lupita Nyong'o, Danai Gurira, Winston Duke
Votes: 304,867 | Gross: $453.72M
Wild card pick: Best Picture
13. Till (I) (2022)
PG-13 | 130 min | Biography, Crime, Drama
In 1955, after Emmett Till is murdered in a brutal lynching, his mother vows to expose the racism behind the attack while working to have those involved brought to justice.
Director: Chinonye Chukwu | Stars: Danielle Deadwyler, Jalyn Hall, Frankie Faison, Haley Bennett
Votes: 15,174
Likely nominations:
Best Actress (Danielle Deadwyler)
Wild card pick:
Best Picture
14. Triangle of Sadness (2022)
R | 147 min | Comedy, Drama
A fashion model celebrity couple join an eventful cruise for the super-rich.
Director: Ruben Östlund | Stars: Thobias Thorwid, Harris Dickinson, Charlbi Dean, Jiannis Moustos
Votes: 177,200
Wild card picks: Best Picture Best Director (Ruben Östlund)
15. RRR (2022)
Not Rated | 187 min | Action, Adventure, Drama
A fearless warrior on a perilous mission comes face to face with a steely cop serving British forces in this epic saga set in pre-independent India.
Director: S.S. Rajamouli | Stars: N.T. Rama Rao Jr., Ram Charan, Ajay Devgn, Alia Bhatt
Votes: 167,072 | Gross: $14.50M
Likely nominations: Best International Feature
16. Glass Onion (2022)
PG-13 | 139 min | Comedy, Crime, Drama
Tech billionaire Miles Bron invites his friends for a getaway on his private Greek island. When someone turns up dead, Detective Benoit Blanc is put on the case.
Director: Rian Johnson | Stars: Daniel Craig, Edward Norton, Kate Hudson, Dave Bautista
Votes: 440,379
Wild card pick: Best Picture
17. Avatar: The Way of Water (2022)
PG-13 | 192 min | Action, Adventure, Fantasy
Jake Sully lives with his newfound family formed on the extrasolar moon Pandora. Once a familiar threat returns to finish what was previously started, Jake must work with Neytiri and the army of the Na'vi race to protect their home.
Director: James Cameron | Stars: Sam Worthington, Zoe Saldana, Sigourney Weaver, Stephen Lang
Votes: 493,248 | Gross: $659.68M
Wild card picks: Best Picture Best Director (James Cameron)
18. Empire of Light (2022)
R | 115 min | Drama, Romance
A drama about the power of human connection during turbulent times, set in an English coastal town in the early 1980s.
Director: Sam Mendes | Stars: Olivia Colman, Micheal Ward, Colin Firth, Toby Jones
Votes: 24,075
Wild card picks: Best Picture Best Actress (Olivia Colman) Best Supporting Actor (Micheal Ward)
19. Bardo: False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (2022)
R | 159 min | Comedy, Drama
An acclaimed documentarian goes on an introspective journey through surreal dreamscapes to reconcile with the past, the present and his Mexican identity.
Director: Alejandro G. Iñárritu | Stars: Daniel Giménez Cacho, Griselda Siciliani, Ximena Lamadrid, Íker Sánchez Solano
Votes: 14,982
Wild card picks: Best Picture Best Director (Alejandro G. Iñárritu)
20. Decision to Leave (2022)
Not Rated | 139 min | Crime, Drama, Mystery
A detective investigating a man's death in the mountains meets the dead man's mysterious wife in the course of his dogged sleuthing.
Director: Park Chan-wook | Stars: Park Hae-il, Tang Wei, Lee Jung-hyun, Go Kyung-pyo
Votes: 54,964
Likely nominations:
Best International Feature
Wild card picks:
Best Director (Park Chan-Wook)
21. The Son (I) (2022)
PG-13 | 123 min | Drama
Peter has his busy life with new partner Beth and their baby thrown into disarray when his ex-wife Kate turns up with their teenage son, Nicholas.
Director: Florian Zeller | Stars: Vanessa Kirby, Hugh Jackman, Laura Dern, Shin-Fei Chen
Votes: 15,791
Likely nominations:
Best Actor (Hugh Jackman)
Wild card pick:
Best Picture
22. All Quiet on the Western Front (2022)
R | 148 min | Action, Drama, War
A young German soldier's terrifying experiences and distress on the western front during World War I.
Director: Edward Berger | Stars: Felix Kammerer, Albrecht Schuch, Aaron Hilmer, Moritz Klaus
Votes: 244,861
Likely nominations:
Best International Feature
Wild card pick:
Best Picture
23. Living (2022)
PG-13 | 102 min | Drama
In 1950s London, a humorless bureaucrat decides to take time off work to experience life after receiving a grim diagnosis.
Director: Oliver Hermanus | Stars: Bill Nighy, Aimee Lou Wood, Alex Sharp, Adrian Rawlins
Votes: 32,518
Likely nominations: Best Actor (Bill Nighy)
24. Whitney Houston: I Wanna Dance with Somebody (2022)
PG-13 | 144 min | Biography, Drama, Music
A joyous, emotional, heartbreaking celebration of the life and music of Whitney Houston, one of the greatest female R&B pop vocalists of all time, tracking her journey from obscurity to musical super stardom.
Director: Kasi Lemmons | Stars: Naomi Ackie, Stanley Tucci, Ashton Sanders, Tamara Tunie
Votes: 22,738
Wild card pick: Best Actress (Naomi Ackie)
25. Blonde (2022)
NC-17 | 167 min | Drama, History
The story of American actress Marilyn Monroe, covering her love and professional lives.
Director: Andrew Dominik | Stars: Ana de Armas, Lily Fisher, Julianne Nicholson, Tygh Runyan
Votes: 71,850
Wild card pick: Best Actress (Ana de Armas)
26. Causeway (2022)
R | 94 min | Drama
A US soldier suffers a traumatic brain injury while fighting in Afghanistan and struggles to adjust to life back home.
Director: Lila Neugebauer | Stars: Jennifer Lawrence, Brian Tyree Henry, Linda Emond, Danny Wolohan
Votes: 22,796
Wild card picks: Best Actress (Jennifer Lawrence) Best Supporting Actor (Brian Tyree Henry)
27. Broker (2022)
R | 129 min | Comedy, Crime, Drama
When a young mother reconsiders abandoning her baby, she discovers a scheme selling foundlings for adoption.
Director: Kore-eda Hirokazu | Stars: Song Kang-ho, Gang Dong-won, Bae Doona, IU
Votes: 16,637
Wild card pick: Best Actor (Song Kang-ho)
28. The Good Nurse (2022)
R | 121 min | Biography, Crime, Drama
An infamous caregiver is implicated in the deaths of hundreds of hospital patients.
Director: Tobias Lindholm | Stars: Eddie Redmayne, Jessica Chastain, Denise Pillott, Dartel McRae
Votes: 79,350
Wild card picks: Best Supporting Actress (Jessica Chastain) Best Supporting Actor (Eddie Redmayne)
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